Free tool

Restaurant ROI Calculator

Capex + revenue ramp + P&L costs → 24-month cash-flow projection, payback month, annual ROI %, and stress scenarios. Answers whether the investment comes back in a timeline you can survive.

Format & city (optional)

Investment

Capex + working capital. Use the capital estimator if you haven't costed this yet.

Revenue & ramp

Normal month after ramp.

Months to reach steady state.

% of steady revenue in month 1.

Monthly costs

After rent, salaries, food cost, aggregator commission, and owner draw.

Payback month
Month 22
Steady-state ROI
61.7%/yr
Year-1 ROI
53.2%
Investment: ₹35,00,000 · Net margin: 15% · Year-1 net: ₹18,63,000

Month 22 payback (with ramp) and 61.7% steady-state annual ROI reads healthy for an Indian QSR/cloud format.

Cumulative net profit vs investment

Mo 1Mo 12Mo 24
Teal = investment recovered · Grey = positive · Red = negative

Monthly projection

MonthRevenueCostsNetCumulative
15,40,0004,59,00081,00081,000
26,72,0005,71,2001,00,8001,81,800
38,04,0006,83,4001,20,6003,02,400
49,36,0007,95,6001,40,4004,42,800
510,68,0009,07,8001,60,2006,03,000
612,00,00010,20,0001,80,0007,83,000
712,00,00010,20,0001,80,0009,63,000
812,00,00010,20,0001,80,00011,43,000
912,00,00010,20,0001,80,00013,23,000
1012,00,00010,20,0001,80,00015,03,000
1112,00,00010,20,0001,80,00016,83,000
1212,00,00010,20,0001,80,00018,63,000

Stress scenarios

How payback and first-year return shift when assumptions change.

ScenarioPaybackYear-1 ROIYear-1 net
Base caseMonth 2253.2%18,63,000
Revenue −15%24+ mo18.1%6,33,420
Net profit −25%24+ mo39.9%13,97,250
Ramp +2 monthsMonth 2250.4%17,64,000
Want the full opening model?
Get the Forkcast pre-launch playbook (PDF) with capex bands, payback benchmarks, and the 35-point checklist used by surviving first-year outlets.

Capex is only half the question

The capital estimator tells you how much you will spend. The break-even calculator tells you the revenue line. This tool tells you whether that spend comes back in a timeline you can survive — accounting for the 4–8 month ramp that no new restaurant avoids.

The model runs a 24-month cash-flow projection: during the ramp period revenue climbs linearly from your opening-month percentage to steady state, while fixed costs stay constant from day one. The payback month is the first month where cumulative net profit equals or exceeds your total investment. Stress scenarios re-run this projection with altered assumptions to show how fragile the model is.

Pair it with the break-even calculator, cost-to-open estimator, and viability score before you commit.

Common questions

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Restaurant ROI calculator (India) — payback & return on capital | Forkcast