Feature ยท ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Demand Forecast

Tomorrow's revenue with a confidence range, modelled on your POS history plus the Indian calendar, weather, and salary cycles.
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What it does

Demand Forecast in plain English

The forecast engine takes your POS sales history and projects tomorrow's revenue with a confidence range. It uses the Indian calendar (Shravan, Navratri, Ekadashi, Eid, Diwali, IPL) as exogenous signals, weather as another, and salary cycles as a third. The model is statistical (statsforecast AutoARIMA with cross-features), not a black box, so we can show you exactly which signal moved tomorrow's number.
Examples

What you actually see

โ‚น16,800 forecast tomorrow (-44% vs average โ€” Shravan starts in 4 days, Monday fasting, college exam week).
โ‚น35,200 forecast (-12% โ€” heavy rain expected through dinner; aggregator orders should partially compensate).
โ‚น62,400 forecast (+38% โ€” IPL Mumbai vs Chennai at 7:30pm, salary day Friday).
Inputs

What powers it

  • POS sales history (Petpooja, UrbanPiper, Posist, or CSV)
  • Indian calendar โ€” festivals, fasting days, Hindu wedding muhurat, Eid, Christmas, school-board exam windows
  • Weather (OpenWeatherMap forecast for your pincode)
  • IPL match schedule
  • Salary cycle (1st-of-month, last-week-pre-salary)
FAQ

Demand Forecast FAQ

How accurate is the forecast?
On our pilot outlets, 14-day rolling MAPE (mean absolute percent error) sits in the 8โ€“14% band โ€” better than ยฑ2,000 INR for a typical Indian QSR doing โ‚น20K-25K/day. Accuracy improves as we ingest more of your history.
What's the minimum data I need to onboard?
30 days of POS history is the practical minimum; 90 days is the sweet spot. With less than 30 days we use cuisine + format + city defaults until your own data dominates.
Does it handle festivals correctly for non-veg restaurants?
Yes. The model knows that Shravan / Navratri / Ekadashi swing non-veg demand sharply down (and pure-veg / paneer-heavy items up). It models this distinction per dish, not per outlet.
Related reading
Shravan, Ekadashi, Navratri demand calendar
Festival windows that swing covers 30โ€“55%.
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Onion price crisis playbook
Mandi spikes and menu responses.
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Break-even check
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Daily shopping list
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Staffing plan
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Viability score for pre-launch
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Restaurant demand forecasting for India โ€” Forkcast | Forkcast