The occupancy → covers loop
Three inputs beat gut feel: confirmed occupancy, group / conference blocks, and attach rates (IRD covers per occupied room; ADD buffet take-up). Multiply, then cost.
| Outlet | Driver | Typical India attach / take-up |
|---|---|---|
| IRD | Occupied rooms × IRD attach | 8–18% of rooms order IRD on a normal night |
| ADD buffet | In-house guests + walk-ins − fixed dinner groups | 40–70% of in-house without a fixed dinner |
| Specialty | Reservation book + walk-in | Treat like a restaurant; ignore room occupancy except for package diners |
Translate covers into rupee break-even
F&B fixed cost is labour + allocated utilities + outlet overhead. Variable is food + packaging. Use the same formula restaurants use: monthly break-even = fixed ÷ (1 − variable rate). Then divide by operating days for a daily rupee target per outlet.
Run the free break-even calculator →Sub-P&L discipline
ADD, IRD, specialty, banquet, and bar each need their own break-even. Blended F&B revenue hides banquet profit and ADD waste. Full split: Hotel F&B P&L — ADD vs IRD vs banquet.
What to do this week
- Export tomorrow’s occupancy + groups from your PMS (CSV is fine).
- Write attach rates for IRD and ADD from the last 8 weeks of POS.
- Set production sheets from the occupancy math — not from “we usually do 120.”
- Track days each outlet cleared break-even. If ADD misses 10+ days/month, fix par-levels before menu redesign.
More on the hotel vertical: Forkcast for hotel F&B — occupancy-aware ops is on the roadmap; CSV onboard works today for forecasts and supply alerts.